Cyclone Could Form November 16, Bringing Heavy Rain to Upper Myanmar and Rakhine Coast

A cyclone may form on November 16, with heavy rain likely in upper Myanmar and along the Rakhine coast

November 13

Due to the convergence of a cyclonic circulation over the central Andaman Sea and a low-pressure cell in the southeast Bay of Bengal, a low-pressure area began forming in the southeast Bay of Bengal today, November 13, according to an assessment by meteorologist U Win Naing.

The low-pressure area will move northwestward and is expected to strengthen into a stronger low-pressure area on November 14 and to develop into a depression by the morning of November 15.

After November 15, it will continue moving north-northwestward and is expected to reach cyclone strength over the central Bay of Bengal by the evening of November 16, according to confirmation from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

The storm will initially track northwestward and later north-northwestward, approaching the northern Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coasts in India on November 17 and 18.

Between November 18 and 19, scattered to frequent heavy rain is likely in Chin State, upper Sagaing Region, Kachin State and the northern Rakhine coast.

In the central dry zone — Mandalay Region, Magway Region and Nay Pyi Taw — the likelihood of rain is minimal to almost none, and conditions will be pleasant and dry as is typical in the cool season, according to the assessment by meteorologist U Win Naing.

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